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Mr. Jitendra Bhatt

June 12, 2026 · 12 min read

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SpaceX Raises $75 Billion — How the Largest IPO in History Will Reshape the Stock Market in 2026

SpaceX just raised $75 billion in the largest IPO ever. Here's what MSCI index inclusion, crypto rotation, and Goldman's $160B wave mean for your money.

History happened last night. At approximately 9:00 PM Eastern time on June 11, 2026, SpaceX confirmed the pricing of its initial public offering at $135 per share — 555,555,555 shares sold, $75 billion raised, and the record books rewritten in one stroke. When SPCX begins trading on the Nasdaq today, it does so as the most valuable company ever to debut on a public exchange, at a valuation of $1.77 trillion, placing it seventh among all US companies by market capitalisation and ahead of Musk's own Tesla. The previous record holder, Saudi Aramco, raised $29.4 billion in its 2019 listing. SpaceX has more than doubled that figure. It is not just the largest IPO in history — it is the largest by such a margin that the second-place record barely registers as a comparison.

But the raw dollar figure, staggering as it is, may not be the most important part of this story for investors. The mechanics of how SPCX enters major stock indexes, the $160 billion wave of AI capital Goldman Sachs says is coming behind it, and the very real question of what all this demand means for liquidity across the broader market — those are the things that will shape how this IPO reshapes portfolios, retirement accounts, and the price of almost every major tech stock in the months ahead.

A Record That Dwarfs Everything That Came Before

To appreciate the scale of what SpaceX has just accomplished, consider the ranking. The previous record belonged to Saudi Aramco — the Saudi state oil giant, one of the most profitable companies on Earth — which raised $29.4 billion in 2019 in what was then considered a breathtaking achievement. Before that, Alibaba held the record with its $21.8 billion 2014 listing. SpaceX has not just beaten those numbers. At $75 billion, it has raised more than two and a half times what Saudi Aramco raised, and more than three times what Alibaba raised.

The company going public today is not the same SpaceX that began launching rockets in 2002. Earlier this year, SpaceX completed an all-stock merger with Elon Musk's artificial intelligence company xAI, integrating Grok and the broader xAI research operation into its corporate structure. The combined entity is simultaneously a rocket company, the world's largest satellite broadband provider through Starlink, a defence contractor, and an AI research and infrastructure business. Starlink, which now provides satellite internet to tens of millions of customers worldwide, reportedly generated approximately $8 billion in profit on $15 to $16 billion in revenue last year — making it the engine that is financing everything else. The IPO roadshow was, in one analyst's description, "a pitch that Starlink's margins can carry xAI's ambitions long enough for orbital data centres to become real."

Individual investors alone requested more than $70 billion worth of shares during the roadshow — nearly matching the entire offering size. Approximately 30% of the shares, worth around $22 billion, were reserved for retail investors, several times the industry standard of 5 to 10%. The IPO is already expected to create roughly 4,000 new millionaires, including SpaceX employees whose compensation packages contain stock options, among them workers in cafeteria and support roles who have held their options for years.

The MSCI Fast-Track: What Index Inclusion Means for Every Index Fund Investor

The most structurally important feature of today's listing — the one that will move the most money whether individual investors do anything at all — is what happens in the roughly ten trading days after SPCX begins trading. On June 8, MSCI confirmed it will apply its early inclusion rules for large IPOs to SpaceX's Global Standard Indexes. The Nasdaq 100 has compressed its standard inclusion window for SpaceX from the usual several months to just 15 trading days under its new "Fast Entry" rule. FTSE Russell has gone even further, announcing a fast-entry mechanism under which eligible IPOs can be added to the Russell 1000 index just five trading days after listing.

Here is why that matters to ordinary investors: more than $30 trillion in assets are currently benchmarked to the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Composite, the Nasdaq 100, and FTSE Russell indexes combined. When a company is added to one of those indexes, the funds that track them are not making a choice about whether to buy — they are required to buy enough shares to match the company's weight in the index. This is called "forced mechanical buying," and it generates enormous, predictable demand for a stock in a very compressed timeframe. BNP Paribas estimates that Nasdaq 100 inclusion alone will generate approximately $8 billion in passive buying during the first month of SpaceX's listing. Bloomberg Intelligence estimates that S&P 500 funds would need to absorb approximately 19% of SpaceX's public float upon eventual inclusion to that index, with Nasdaq 100 and Russell 1000 funds absorbing another combined 24%.

There is one significant complication that investors need to understand. The S&P 500 — home to the most-held index funds like SPY, VOO, and IVV — has not fast-tracked SpaceX. S&P Global cited SpaceX's projected net loss of $4.94 billion in 2025, citing its profitability requirement as a standard it refused to waive. That means S&P 500 inclusion is expected to come no earlier than late 2026 or even 2027, creating what analysts are calling a "two-phase catalyst structure." The first phase — Nasdaq 100 and Russell 1000 inclusion — arrives in days or weeks. The second, larger wave of passive buying from S&P 500 funds, estimated at $13 billion or more, comes later. Investors who front-run the first wave will be waiting, with uncertainty, for the second.

For anyone with money in a broad Nasdaq or Russell index fund, you may end up owning SpaceX shares within weeks whether or not you make a deliberate decision to buy them. That is not necessarily good or bad — but it is something worth knowing.

Goldman's $160 Billion Wave: How SpaceX Is Just the Opening Act

SpaceX is the first of what Goldman Sachs estimates could be a record-breaking $160 billion year for US IPO proceeds in 2026 — a figure that would represent roughly four times what the entire US IPO market raised in 2025. And SpaceX, enormous as it is, is only the beginning of that wave.

OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT and arguably the most closely watched private company in the world, has confidentially filed an S-1 with the SEC and is targeting a listing as early as September 2026 at a valuation of $852 billion to $1 trillion. Anthropic — the AI safety company behind the Claude family of models — confidentially filed for its own IPO on June 1, after reaching a private valuation approaching $965 billion, and is reportedly targeting a raise exceeding $60 billion at a valuation that could approach $1 trillion. Together, the combined pipeline demand from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic is projected to absorb well north of $200 billion in capital by year-end — more than four times what the entire US IPO market raised last year.

This wave has enormous implications for how capital flows through financial markets over the remainder of 2026. Institutional money has spent years buying Nvidia for AI chip exposure, Microsoft for its OpenAI stake, and Alphabet for its positions in DeepMind and Anthropic. With actual shares in the foundational AI companies now available — or soon to be — that proxy strategy becomes redundant. The great institutional rotation out of AI-adjacent positions and into direct AI equity is already beginning, and it will intensify with each successive listing. Analysts at Wedbush described the moment as "the floodgates opening" for an IPO market that had been dormant for years.

What This Means for Tech Stocks and Digital Assets

The scale of capital demand created by the SpaceX IPO and its successors has direct implications for the price of other assets — and not all of them are positive. When $75 billion needs to be found for a single offering, it has to come from somewhere. The question of where has preoccupied traders and analysts for weeks, and the answers are creating real pressure in specific corners of the market.

For tech stocks, the Nasdaq 100 fast-track inclusion creates a structural dynamic that works both ways. The forced buying of SPCX is good for SpaceX shareholders. But because the Nasdaq 100 is a fixed-weight index, adding a $1.77 trillion company means every other constituent's weight is diluted. Index funds tracking the Nasdaq 100 will need to sell existing holdings — across every major technology company currently in the index — to make room. That selling pressure, concentrated in a short window, could weigh on the prices of stocks like Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon in the weeks around inclusion.

For cryptocurrency markets, the picture is more direct and potentially more severe. SpaceX reserved approximately $22 billion worth of shares for retail investors — the same demographic that has driven the crypto bull market over the past several years. Analysts at BNP Paribas projected up to $50 billion in retail liquidations across crypto, semiconductors, and leveraged ETFs just to fund the SpaceX allocation. Spencer Hallarn, GSR's Global Head of OTC Trading, was blunt in his assessment: "Crypto is a funding currency for a lot of this. We've got to find $75 billion for this IPO, and it's got to come from somewhere." The data is already showing the rotation: AI and semiconductor stocks surged roughly 170% over the past year while Bitcoin shed approximately 40% over the same period.

There is a counterargument for the bulls. US money market funds currently hold an estimated $8 trillion in assets. SpaceX's $75 billion raise represents roughly 1% of that pool. If risk appetite is strong enough and money market money rotates into equities to fund these offerings, the broader market could absorb the supply without severe disruption to individual asset classes. The Goldman Sachs forecast of $160 billion in total 2026 IPO proceeds rests implicitly on that assumption.

Should Ordinary Investors Buy SPCX Today — Or Wait?

SPCX begins trading this morning at $135 per share. The question every retail investor is asking is a simple one: should I buy at the open, wait for a pullback, or stay on the sidelines entirely? The honest answer is nuanced, and the history of mega-cap IPOs is instructive.

The case for caution is strong. The MSCI and Nasdaq 100 fast-track inclusion creates a predictable dynamic: early buyers, many of them institutional, know a wave of forced passive buying is coming in ten to fifteen trading days. They buy now, the forced buying arrives, the stock surges to a short-term high, and then the front-running money exits. Tesla's 2020 S&P 500 inclusion is the clearest modern parallel — the stock surged into its inclusion date and then traded sideways-to-down for weeks as the flow exhausted. SpaceX is the same setup with two amplifiers: a much lower float than Tesla had at inclusion, and a faster inclusion window. The risk of buying at the open, being carried briefly higher by the inclusion wave, and then being left holding the bag when front-runners exit is real.

The case for buying is also real, and it rests on fundamentals rather than technical mechanics. Starlink is a genuine monopoly in satellite broadband with improving unit economics, a contracted government revenue stream through defence and intelligence services, and a market position that is essentially impossible to replicate in the near term. The global space economy is expected to reach $1 trillion by 2034, up from $626 billion in 2025, and SpaceX launches approximately 85% of all spacecraft into orbit. If xAI's integration and the orbital data centre strategy pay off over a five-year horizon, the $1.77 trillion valuation may look conservative.

For most ordinary investors, the wisest approach is neither to chase the stock at the open nor to ignore it entirely. A position sized appropriately as part of a diversified portfolio — bought in tranches over the first several weeks rather than all at once — captures the long-term opportunity without fully exposing you to the short-term mechanics of the inclusion cycle. If you own broad Nasdaq or Russell index funds, you are already going to own SPCX whether you choose to or not. The question is simply how much additional exposure makes sense for your specific risk tolerance and investment horizon.

One thing is clear: the arrival of SpaceX on public markets is not just an investment event. It is a structural shift in the composition of the US equity market, the beginning of the largest wave of AI-related IPO supply in history, and the moment that three of the most transformative private companies of the past decade begin to be priced by millions of ordinary investors in real time. That is either exciting or alarming, depending on your perspective — and possibly both.

Conclusion

The $75 billion SpaceX IPO is not just a number. It is the opening chapter of a story that will unfold across the rest of 2026 as OpenAI and Anthropic follow it onto the public markets, as Goldman Sachs' $160 billion IPO wave either materialises or runs into the resistance of an inflation-constrained, rate-elevated economy, and as millions of ordinary investors decide whether to be early participants in that story or cautious observers. The MSCI fast-track will funnel billions in passive buying into SPCX within days. The crypto and semiconductor markets will feel the rotation. The Nasdaq 100 will be reshuffled. And the S&P 500 will eventually have to grapple with its own exclusion of the seventh-largest company in America.

History was made last night. The market will be processing the consequences for the rest of the year.

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*This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is sourced from public SEC filings, Reuters, CNBC, NPR, CME Group, BNP Paribas, and Goldman Sachs research cited as of June 11–12, 2026. Consult a qualified financial advisor for guidance specific to your situation.*


JB

Written by

Mr. Jitendra Bhatt

Deep understading of finance area and writer covering markets, investing, and economic policy.

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